I can’t believe it’s been nearly 25 years since I voted in my first Presidential election, which featured the very first and only true opportunity by a third-party candidate to potentially win, at least in my lifetime. I knew Perot because my father, at the time, worked for EDS, which Perot had founded and had run for many years. So, the name was very familiar in my house.
The 1992 Campaign
When he went on TV one Sunday night and pulled out all of his charts and sat down and explained why America could not continue down the path it was on, and why his was a better path, people were intrigued. In fact, it went a bit further than that for awhile, as he actually led in the polls for a short time against the major candidates, President George Bush and Arkansas Governor Bill Clinton.
Eventually, the campaign fizzled out after what can only be described as a bizarre sequence of events where dropped out only to re-enter the race, only to find out that he could not recapture the spotlight. Once he re-entered his vice-presidential candidate had one of the worst debate performances I’ve ever seen, which, at least in my opinion, sealed the deal. While he got almost 20% of the popular vote, which is nothing to sneeze at, he didn’t win a single state.
A Potential Turning Point
Looking back, it was kind of a watershed moment. Not in decades had a serious third party candidate mounted an actual campaign. Even though he didn’t have a chance going in, after the election, many wondered if his campaign could serve as a springboard for his Reform Party or other parties to establish themselves as credible challengers moving forward.
As we all know, the answer to that has been a resounding no. The two major parties have put a stranglehold on Washington and on voters. Perot’s run was considered ‘one for the ages’, but unfortunately the legacy includes the ‘one’ as a big part, as his run didn’t pave the way for any positive changes.
People Weren’t Ready Then
The thing about that election and the intrigue that Perot brought, is that people weren’t looking for the changes that he was bringing forward. They were perfectly fine picking between the established sitting President and the rising star Governor. However, Perot captured the spotlight and made people question that perhaps they were ready for a change.
Unfortunately, asking the question was about as far as it got. A quarter century, people asked the question, thought about it for a good long time (which is when he stuck around near the top of the polls), but then were perfectly fine to answer ‘No, no changes needed’ when push came to shove.
Heck, if you want me to be truthful, I think that Perot himself may not have actually been ready, which could very well explain his abrupt withdrawal. The idea of upheaval and being responsible for it might have just been too much for him to handle.
People Are Ready Now
Fast forward 25 years and look at where we are now, and I believe that people are ready for that change. So much so, that if Ross Perot had a time machine and ran today as he did back in 1992, I think he would, hands down, win the election.
Unfortunately, Perot is now 85, which is why I said he needed a time machine.
But think about it, people are now ready for change. Even though we’re still stuck within the two parties, just looking at the ‘final four’ shows that people are by and large ready. On the Democratic side, you have Hillary, who I think will probably win the election, but not because people really are itching to elect her, but because the other three I’m about to present are just too ‘out there’. Let’s take a look:
- Bernie Sanders – Hillary’s main competition, that stood pretty strong for a pretty long time, ran on a socialist agenda. He campaigned on the fact of making government bigger, of raising taxes, and redistributing wealth. All of these things traditionally get any candidate slaughtered, yet people craved change so much that they stuck with him, sometimes passionately so.
- Ted Cruz – This crackpot is so far to the right that colleagues seriously describe him as carrying a Constitution around and consulting with it on every decision. An extremist like this would normally not made it out of Iowa or New Hampshire before having been run over by the more ‘traditional’ brand of mainstream candidates, you know like Jeb Bush, John Kasich, or Scott Walker, yet none of those guys caught so much of a sniff of a chance. Yet the guy that openly preached right wing extremism took it the furthest.
- Donald Trump – And of course, you have The Donald. I mean, this guy is looking like he will be nominated by the Republican party for President in a few short weeks. I’m pretty sure it’s going to happen even though I’m fairly certain that not one single Republican politician truly wants this to happen. Yet, here he is.
People Want Change
The bottom line is that people are sick and tired of the same old stuff because they know it’s going to lead to the same old garbage.
People are getting more connected. The Internet and explosion of smart phones and tablets has done this. It lets people know, more so than ever, what’s going on, and people now can see that the traditional candidates really don’t care all that much. Well, they care up until they get your vote, but after that, you mean nothing. Heck, sometimes they don’t even care that much. I remember in 2008 when John McCain was the Republican nominee, he gave up on Michigan in something like August, basically ignoring the state. And this type of behavior is fairly common, yet they promise that they’ll look out for us.
People are done with it, and they want change. They crave it. Now, as I said above, I think that Hillary will win, and even though she’s fully entrenched in the establishment as one can possibly be, I think she’s only going to win because the brand of change from the three closest candidates is just too ‘out there’ (though last week’s Brexit vote shows that, really, anything is within the realm of possibility).
However, Ross Perot’s campaign that he ran in 1992. That would have been perfect. It would have resonated so well that I think he would have mopped the floor with any of the other candidates this year. I think that if he were today the same 60 year old with the same campaign as he was 25 years ago, he would have had a bigger margin of victory than Reagan had over Mondale, and that was a thumping of epic proportions.
People are ready for change. It might not happen this election, but I’m pretty sure it’s going to happen soon. We just need someone that makes a little sense.
Readers, what do you think? Do you agree that Perot’s message would have hit home today or do think it would have turned out the same way? For those that remember, what are your memories of Perot and his impact on the 1992 election?Copyright 2015 Original content authorized only to appear on Money Beagle. Please subscribe via RSS, follow me on Twitter, Facebook, or receive e-mail updates. Thank you for reading.