Weather forecasters get a pretty bad rap for their accuracy.
However, this post isn’t about ripping on weather forecasters. In fact, quite the opposite. I bring them up so that I can compare them to another group of individuals whose profession should really be brought into question.
You see, meteorologists often get blamed whenever a forecast is wrong. If it rains on a day when sun was predicted, they get called out for a ruined picnic or day at the beach. Clouds instead of the predicted sun can put a big damper on an outdoor activity. The list goes on.
As I’ve gotten more interested in weather and looking at things, I’ve actually become a lot more tolerant of meteorologists. If you look at what they do, it’s in fact pretty amazing that they get it right as often as they do. They look at weather as it stands, then look at things that are happening hundreds, if not thousands, of miles away, and make predictions on what’s going to happen hours, and even days, down the road. There are many things that can change, each with potential impact on what actually happens. If you’re on the East coast and reading this, consider that your forecast for what’s supposed to happen is based on weather that hasn’t even hit land all the way across the continent.
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